3. Will Grayscale's victory over the SEC bring a bull market?
The news of Grayscale's victory has been seen as a positive signal and has attracted investors to buy Bitcoin, as indicated by its price fluctuations. However, whether BTC and the overall cryptocurrency market will continue their rebound or even enter a bull market remains uncertain.
Some believe that a BTC spot ETF means each share issued must be supported by actual BTC at a 1:1 ratio, serving as a catalyst for a new bull market.
However, there are also dissenting opinions. Jeff Dorman, Chief Investment Officer at Arca, stated, "Viewing this ruling as a panacea for ongoing BTC upside is premature. Real follow-through only occurs when BlackRock and others start truly selling BTC in their filings."
From a technical perspective, BTC has successfully broken through the short-term resistance level of $26,800. However, additional buying power from the market is needed for further upward movement and to surpass $30,000. The current sentiment is relatively pessimistic, and even if Grayscale's BTC spot ETF is approved, it may not necessarily attract significant new funds.
Bitcoin Daily Price Chart, Source: TradingView.
To drive external funds, efforts from giants like BlackRock are necessary. They possess substantial capital and can mobilize other types of funds. Therefore, the real bull market depends on the volume of capital, where BlackRock serves as a significant driving force that may lead the market to a bullish trend.